The survey of more than 10,000 people found the party would receive the largest show of support, accumulating 227 MPs.
The Survation poll puts Labour in second with 197 seats, having reveled in a “Burnham bounce” in recent weeks as the new Prime Minister appeared to rapidly win back the faith of public opinion.
Shockingly, the Lib Dems would win 72 seats, while Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives would be behind with 71 – further pointing to the “death” of two-party politics in Britain.
The SNP would win 46 seats, while Zack Polanski’s Green Party would have a measly four MPs.
The outcome of the poll serves as a much needed boost to Mr Farage, who has been at the centre of controversy in recent months over his financial affairs, including ongoing questions over an undeclared £5 million gift.
Having won the contest at the Clacton by-election earlier this month, the Reform leader appears to be well on his way to winning back public faith ahead of the next general election.
According to pollsters, Reform’s margins are thin despite the party’s improving popularity, with just 100 of its seats considered safe.
Tactical voting could also prove an obstacle, with fierce rivalry on the right side of politics among Reform, Restore Britain and the Tories.
Commentators propose a “unite the right” move, in a bid to avoid votes splitting across the three parties and handing a win to Labour in 2029.
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‘Labour will never really change’ – Tories and Greens bash Chancellor for ‘continuity Starmer’ comments
The Conservatives and Greens have added to the tirade of ridicule over Chancellor John Healey’s comments on Sky News, that Andy Burnham’s appointment represents the “continuity of a Labour Government with a change of leader”.
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride said: “It is disappointing news for businesses, working people, and the economy as a whole to hear the Chancellor confirm that he will be continuity Rachel Reeves.
“Welfare reform and funding our defence properly have already been kicked into the long grass.
“Labour will never really change. They will always put welfare before work, raise your taxes, and destroy jobs.”
He added that only his party has a “serious plan to cut spending, taxes and regulation” and will bring bills down while backing business.
Meanwhile, the deputy leader of the Greens, Rachel Millward, said Mr Healey “has let the cat out of the bag”.
She said: “This is a continuity government, continuity with fiscal rules that strangle growth and investment, continuity with the privatised water rip-off, continuity with unaffordable housing, continuity Starmer.”
Andy Burnham bring forward timeline on dedicated rape and sexual offences teams for all police forces in England and Wales
All police forces in England and Wales will have dedicated rape and sexual offences teams by December next year, Andy Burnham has announced.
The deadline for these units to be in place has been brought forward by 18 months, with up to ten forces getting a share of £13m to create protection order teams.
Protection orders can be imposed on people, even if they have not been convicted of a criminal offence in court.
The government says the funding for the protection orders is being met with existing Home Office budgets.
Andy Burnham said: “The scale of violence and abuse suffered by women and girls in this country is unacceptable. We must be laser focused on stamping out these vile crimes.
“These measures were going to be introduced in 2029, but I think that’s too slow. So we’re taking action to accelerate the roll-out of specialist rape and sexual offence teams, who will go after perpetrators, enforce strict new protection orders to protect survivors, and invest in programmes to intensively manage offenders to break the cycle of abuse.”
The Government has pledged to halve violence against women and girls within a decade.
Robert Jenrick pounces on Chancellor’s Freudian slip over ‘continuity of a Labour Government’ under Andy Burnham
The comments come shortly after Reform UK proposed an overhaul of the UK welfare system | PARobert Jenrick has ridiculed Chancellor John Healey’s comments, in which he said Andy Burnham’s rise to No10 represents the “continuity of a Labour Government with a change of leader”.
Reform UK’s Shadow Chancellor said: “John Healey has confirmed what the rest of us already knew. Andy Burnham isn’t a fresh start – he’s just continuity Labour with a new face.
“The public are being made to endure the same high taxes, same open borders and the same ballooning benefits bill.
“Britain doesn’t need a Labour government with a new leader. It needs the party with a plan for a genuinely different direction, and that means Reform UK.”
Voting opens in the contest to replace Anas Sarwar as Scottish Labour leader
Anas Sarwar led calls for Sir Keir Starmer to resign in February | PAVoting has now opened in the contest to replace Anas Sarwar as Scottish Labour leader.
Mr Sarwar stepped down from the role to join Andy Burnham’s Government as a trade minister, being given a seat in the House of Lords.
MSPs Michael Marra and Joe Fagan are going head-to-head for the top job after securing the required support to reach the ballot.
Whoever wins the contest will lead the party through next year’s Scottish local elections.
The ballot opened today and will close on September 17, ahead of the new leader being announced on September 19.
Scottish Government publishes draft legislation to hold second independence referendum despite pushback from Andy Burnham
The Scottish Government has published draft legislation to hold a second independence referendum with the Independence Referendum Bill.
The Government said the Bill will be introduced at Holyrood once the necessary powers are secured.
First Minister John Swinney said: “The world has changed fundamentally since 2014. So has the UK, and so has Scotland.
“While people living in the UK endure flatlining living standards and the economic damage caused by Brexit, countries all around us are enjoying a higher quality of life and have more wealth to invest in their public services – often without a fraction of the abundant resources and economic strengths that Scotland enjoys.”
Mr Swinney had said during the Holyrood election campaign earlier this year that he would seek to push forward with plans to achieve independence if the SNP was voted back into power.
In the days after the SNP Government was re-elected in May, a motion in the Scottish Parliament to call on Westminster “to make a Section 30 order under the Scotland Act 1998 to devolve the powers to the Scottish Parliament to hold a referendum on Scottish independence” passed by 72 votes to 55.
Mr Swinney said: “In May, the largest number of pro-independence MSPs in history voted to support the call for powers to hold a referendum on Scottish independence to be devolved to the Scottish Parliament.
“This draft Bill is simple, straightforward and direct. It proposes a clear, unambiguous question, sets out who can vote in the referendum, and, once agreed, will include the date.
“It provides people with certainty. What is now needed is the UK Government to respect the voice of the Scottish people and Parliament and transfer the necessary powers.
“Scotland is ready. The Scottish people are ready. It is time the UK Government delivered.
“I will have more to say about Scotland’s constitutional future in the coming weeks. Fundamentally, nobody will take better decisions about Scotland’s future than the people who live here. That future belongs to the people of Scotland – and no-one else.”
Prime Minister Andy Burnham has earlier said he will not consider agreeing to a second referendum on Scottish independence.