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Reform smashes Labour with 12-point poll lead – Conservatives plummet . hyn

Nigel Farage

Reform UK MP Nigel Farage will be pleased with the polling (Image: Getty )

Rampaging Reform have stormed to a 12-point lead over Labour, a new poll suggests. Nigel Farage’s light blue army, with ranks recently swelled by defecting sitting and former Tory MPs, are also surging ahead of their dark blue right-of-centre rivals the Conservatives by 15 points.

The polling will make grim reading for both Labour and the Conservatives, with Sir Keir Starmer rumoured to be fighting off a leadership challenge and Kemi Badenoch still reeling from the high-profile defection of her Shadow Cabinet minister Robert Jenrick.

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According to the new survey, carried out for The i Paper by BMG, the Greens are also strengthening their vote share with 13% saying they would vote for the environmental outfit. The Lib Dems scored slightly worse, with 11% saying they would back Sir Ed Davey’s party.

Reform UK

Reform UK have surged ahead of Labour in a recent poll for The i Paper (Image: BMG for The i Paper )

Jack Curry, pollster at BMG, told The i Paper the polling results showed an “increasingly fractured” political landscape.

“If this played out in a general election, Reform would be on course not just to emerge as the largest party but to secure a working majority, while no other party would even reach triple-digit seat totals,” he said.

Mr Curry added that the results seemed to reflect intensifying “disillusionment” with the two traditional Westminster parties.

BMG surveyed 1,513 British adults between January 28 and 29 to ask their voting intentions.

Reform leader Nigel Farage

Reform UK have had an impressive showing in national and regional polling (Image: Getty )

In Scotland, Reform UK has also opened up a clear lead over Scottish Labour for second place ahead of May’s Holyrood election, a new poll suggests. Nigel Farage‘s party – led north of the border by former Tory peer Malcolm Offord – has a five-point lead over Labour in the YouGov poll published on Thursday.

The polling body spoke to 1,113 people in Scotland between January 8 and 14. Reform boasted 20% support in both the constituency and regional vote, compared to 15% for Labour.

The SNP remained well in front of the pack in the poll, on 34% and 29% respectively.

But that represents a substantial drop from the 48% and 40% support it enjoyed in the last Holyrood election in 2021.

Elsewhere, the Conservatives sunk to 10% support in constituencies and 11% in the regional list, according to Thursday’s poll.

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